Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 412.016416 472.848661 542.023103 627.020571 729.347855 849.453100 1002.400084
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 323.609867 400.904116 497.831620 630.338222 810.002548 1049.988852 1403.356803
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 270.156615 351.094878 459.118100 617.561528 850.624726 1192.063481 1752.733760
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 238.052286 321.303440 438.096342 619.591180 905.563694 1359.647680 2182.861048
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 209.501693 291.229216 410.475665 604.585574 928.220909 1478.296428 2565.822113
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 189.579153 270.506045 392.798692 600.441653 965.266897 1626.769252 3050.747095
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 167.428720 243.593357 361.759148 568.941727 948.036989 1671.491653 3340.626021
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 160.263067 238.866741 364.895384 595.043214 1038.784688 1944.656006 4241.139582
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 155.719156 237.630181 373.282423 631.288774 1155.988944 2305.293566 5532.269859
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 145.975839 226.729773 363.771017 632.653871 1202.635498 2523.132768 6556.587076
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 134.446789 211.698593 345.313120 613.970010 1202.638772 2630.022808 7308.284569
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 124.865099 199.174162 330.044600 599.441616 1209.021425 2755.156854 8198.007089
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 120.655617 195.894726 331.735757 620.637934 1304.625784 3155.328856 10399.384365
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 114.612199 188.819229 325.587418 624.537449 1360.156035 3465.861246 12538.053423
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 107.304562 178.805771 312.734213 611.890958 1371.136401 3646.726765 14277.464477
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 102.299246 172.641649 306.802918 613.897769 1421.300721 3974.094297 17117.975180
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 96.042129 163.633592 294.317171 599.063758 1422.340909 4136.458915 19253.425826
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 91.380794 157.333529 286.783940 594.967044 1453.347576 4421.759712 22561.527292
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 84.610062 146.500496 268.968788 563.823282 1398.927547 4364.481489 23470.313573
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 83.428371 146.518218 273.946341 589.629981 1522.985065 5075.492536 31486.991098
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 83.043232 148.070591 282.339715 625.460858 1689.277873 6070.021596 44757.933949
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 79.944873 143.904384 277.810494 626.810219 1742.422017 6580.982984 54738.848827
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 75.608935 136.927370 266.449571 608.340995 1723.191541 6727.174552 60787.539639